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ObservabilityNovember 6, 2024

Client Health Is a Leading Indicator. Revenue Is Lagging.

By the time revenue drops, the relationship was already lost. Here's what to watch instead.

The lag problem: By the time revenue from a client drops, the relationship deteriorated months ago. Revenue is lagging. Health is leading.

When consulting firms track client metrics, they usually focus on revenue. How much did we bill? What's the trend? Where are growth accounts?

Revenue is important. But it's a lagging indicator.


The Lag Problem

TIMELINE OF CLIENT LOSS

Month 1-2: Enthusiasm wanes (invisible) Month 3-4: Stops responding to expansion emails Month 5-6: Doesn't mention you to peers Month 7-8: Current project ends, no next one ready Month 9: Revenue drops 50% └──▶ YOU NOTICE HERE (too late)

The client was unhappy for months. They were professional, fulfilled obligations, work continued. But their enthusiasm waned. And you had no warning—if you were only watching revenue.


What Client Health Actually Measures

Engagement quality
Not just "are projects on track" but "are stakeholders actively engaged?"
Communication patterns
Response speed. Expanding or contracting conversations. Problems brought to you or hidden.
Relationship depth
Multiple stakeholders or dependent on one champion? Champions leave.
Expansion signals
"What else could you help with?" vs. just managing current scope.

Building a Health Score

A useful score combines objective and subjective signals:

Objective (from systems)
  • Days since last interaction
  • Project health across portfolio
  • Response time to comms
  • Number of active contacts
Subjective (from team)
  • Account owner's gut feel
  • Stakeholder satisfaction
  • Risk flags from project teams
  • Expansion potential

Neither type is sufficient alone. Objective signals miss nuance. Subjective miss patterns. Together, they give you early warning.


From Monitoring to Action

Health What It Means Action
Green Relationship strong Maintain rhythm, look for expansion
Yellow Something's off Investigate. Schedule relationship check-in.
Red At risk Partner-level attention. Honest conversation. Possibly a reset.

The goal isn't to never have yellow or red clients. Relationships fluctuate. The goal is to catch declines early, when intervention is still possible.


Continuous, Not Periodic

Quarterly account reviews

Too slow. By the time you review, the problem has compounded for 3 months.

Continuous health monitoring

Living score that updates as signals change. Score drops → right person notified → investigate → act. The quarterly review becomes confirmation, not discovery.


Key Takeaway

Revenue tells you where you've been. Health tells you where you're going. Firms that manage leading indicators grow faster and retain better—not because they're better at consulting, but because they catch problems earlier and respond faster.

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